Archive for November, 2008

SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT

By trader7757, 28 November, 2008, No Comment

Sometimes I log onto this blog of mine and see the glaring headline I have chosen and cringe…..

“Learn to earn $1000-2000 a day”
The key word in that statement is “learn” and I want to emphasize that trading, like all skills, is acquired skill, and it would be a mistake to arm yourself with a thimble of knowledge and expect to conquer the markets, it’s just not that easy. If you read much of this blog, you have seen days when I lose money, make mistakes and in general do a poor job. Mind you, I do not intentionally go out and decide to do a poor job, but the market is a mysterious creature, at times.
To be sure, I want to emphasize the learning aspect of trading as oppose to the greed that all of us feel at the thought of effortlessly earning thousands every day. It takes time and patience to be an effective market trader. I strongly suggest trading on “paper” for an extended period of time before you consider risking your capital. Learn to trade just one of the indexes, they all have subtle nuances that can be distracting. I would suggest the YM or the NQ contracts as great starting places. They both are fairly liquid and behave well, so to speak.
Don’t rush into a trading account and expect to conquer the world. The fact is, most traders bust out in the first 90 days. Keep that statistic in your mind. 90 percent.
Of course, most people tend to rush into the futures markets after having read a book or two and traded on paper for a month…..that’s not enough. Become a student of the markets and test your skill regularly, and for an extended period of time. Get real good. Then start conservatively and trade a single contract. It’s different when you trade with real money, believe me.

From Calculated Risk

By trader7757, 28 November, 2008, No Comment

CB Richard Ellis: CRE “Conditions have deteriorated” Rapidly
by CalculatedRisk on 11/28/2008 09:10:00 AM

“Conditions have deteriorated on a scale and with a speed that no one could have predicted just a few months ago. Market conditions of unprecedented strength are roiling the world’s financial markets. The global economy is either in, or close to, recession and 2009 is not likely to be a year of great recovery.”

Brett White, president and chief executive officer of CB Richard Ellis, recent letter to clients, from the LA Times: CB Richard Ellis feels industry’s painAnd a few months ago White wasn’t exactly optimistic:

“Decreased investment volumes have now become evident in all parts of the world. … I can best describe the current environment as being very challenging and still having a high probability of getting worse before we see improvement.” Brett White, president and chief executive officer of CB Richard Ellis, July 30, 2008

GDP revised downward, but new loans carry the day

By trader7757, 25 November, 2008, No Comment
ESZ8 11-25-08 Click on image to enlarge

The wacky world of bailouts and bad news continued today as the market took a liking to the Fed’s new loan program, and , for the most part, ignored the downward revision of the GDP to -.5%. Volume was heaviest during the last hour or so as the ES climbed into positive territory. Most behavior in the market, strange as some of it is, has rational explanation but today was one of those days you chalk up to experience. For the most part, the day was fairly tradable and didn’t pose any huge problems.

here is todays chart

By trader7757, 24 November, 2008, No Comment
ESZ8 Click on chart to enlarge