Archive for July, 2009

Some Reader Questions Answered Regarding DecisionBar

By , 18 July, 2009, No Comment

f your trading fundamentals are week, there is no book or software program that is going to make you a great trader. My writing on randomness and chaos theory in earlier posts makes this assertion true. My own personal observations make it true. Many people trade recklessly, without discipline, without trade filtering technique and use poor money management. No program can cure these problems.

Have You Considered the Tax Consequences of Futures Trading

By , 18 July, 2009, No Comment

t took me several years before I found an accountant who had even a rudimentary understanding of the taxation of profits from futures trading. Most accountants I interviewed assumed the proper methodology for was to treat the gains as normal capital gains and tax them at my marginal tax rate, which can, for some individuals, be as high as 35%.

Pivot Point for 7-17-2009

By , 17 July, 2009, No Comment

ESU9
For 07/17/2009

Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 944.00 952.25 932.50 924.25 912.75

ES emini trades for July 16, 2009

By , 16 July, 2009, No Comment
emini trading chart ESU9 for 7-16-09

emini trading chart ESU9 for 7-16-09

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

Very enjoyable day to trade on the es dow emini, especially the afternoon session, which proved to be profitable.  There is no better feeling that being on the right side of a long protracted trade.  The morning was a little choppy and I eeked out a few decent trades, and a loser, but the action was fast and interesting.

I was paying fair close attention to the divergence line on the MACD as the market wanted to change directions early on, and I hate to overstay my welcome in a trade because it usually spells bad news, so I was a little slow to get in and quick to get out, when possible.

There were a variety of banking and financial concerns buffeting the market today, and I had to focus on the chart and ignore all the news.  Seems the banks we bailed out are making money hand over fist again,  hmmm….imagine that.  My Dad always reminded me, “your banker is not your friend”…truer words have never been spoken.  Apologies to any bankers who are offended, but I’ll stick with my old dad on this one.

CIT appears headed for bankruptcy, and this had the market riled up all morning.  JP Morgan Chase posted nice profits, with CITI and the rest of the banking cabal reporting earnings tomorrow.  Probably make for an interesting day…just remember, trade the chart, not the news or the economy.

Go Cubs!  We need a good second half of the season.  I guess I let the cat out of the bag, I am an inveterate Cubs fan.

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By , 16 July, 2009, No Comment


ES Pivots for 7-16-09

By , 16 July, 2009, No Comment

ES Pivots for emini trading on 7-16-09

Emini Comments, Please.

By , 16 July, 2009, No Comment

I started this site on emini trading last year not so much to spew out the information I have amassed in a 25 year trading career, but to hear and exchange ideas on trading technique and quite possibly debate the merits of various systems.  I have strong opinions about what works and why, but a small ego in regards to listening to new ideas, so….

I get 600 hits or so a day, and I encourage readers to share their ideas or ask questions.  There is no stupid question, and any idea, properly supported and substantiated gains credibility.  About the only thing in trading I don’t believe is valid is the notion of chart formations (ie, head and shoulders, wedges…etc) but I still will give any chart formation believer all the comment space required, as some people do quite well in this trading style.

In short, express your opinion, disagree or agree, call me a pinhead if you would like, but let’s share some ideas.  Warmest Regards, David

It doesn’t take much to get the emini market excited…apparently

By , 15 July, 2009, No Comment
ES emini contract

ES emini contract

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

Well, you get a hint of good news, or news that is more like “it could have been worse than this,” and the market goes bonkers.  I was long most of the day, as most of the real action took place during the pre-trading hours.  I don’t have too much to say about todays chart, as the chart really says it all.

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