Archive for July, 2009

A Little More Information on Leverage and Emini Contracts

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment

A week of so ago I wrote a brief article about leverage and how emini contracts have highly leverage relative to their individual stock counterparts.  I recieved a number of emails to further expound on this because it is a very important concept to understand.

As an emini scalper, I do not hold any emini contract positions overnight.  The reason is simple, I do not want to participate in a volatile move to the upside or downside while I sleep, especially if I am on the wrong side of that move.  It only makes sense.  I also trade exclusively by watching charts and chart indicators, so my sleeping hours do not allow me to to do this.  In short, I am just more comfortable scalping the emini that trying to swing trade the contract.

The leverage on an emini contract goes something like this for daytraders: (We’ll use the ES contract as an example)

Each point on the ES contract (the S and P emini) is worth 50 dollars, and lets say the ES emini contract is trading at 900.  The math is fairly simple.

900 x $50= $45000

So, in actuality, you are controlling 45K worth of contracts when you daytrade.  How much will the average futures brokerage house ask you to post as margin on a single contract?  Usually about $500, but some have recently raised their daytrading margins considerably higher because of the volatile nature of the market of late.  But there are still plenty of brokerages at the $500 dollar level.  As you may have surmised, this is a fantastic level of leverage and create extraordinary profits on a good move in the market. But it is a two edged sword…it can also create tremendous losses on a good move in the market against the positive you are holding.

Obviously, a good technique for employing stops is needed and I have recently written one that fully explains my position on this topic.

Think about what leverage has done for you with your home. If you buy a home for $250,000 and you put 10% down ($25,000), you will double your money if your home simply goes up 10%. You’ll triple your money if it goes up by $50,000. This is the magic of leverage.

But as you know, this same leverage can bite you. If your home depreciates by 10%, you have lost all the capital you have placed in it. This is why protective stops and correct positions are essential, especially when leverage is in place. But when correctly used, the leverage in the E-mini markets allows your capital to rapidly accumulate at a far greater pace than the leverage offered to you in stocks.

The same principle holds true for trading emini contracts, remember it’s a double edge sword and you need to wield that sword judiciously.

Emini Trading on the ES emini contract 7-14-09

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment
ESU9  July 14, 2009

ESU9 July 14, 2009

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

The market made its usual move around 9:30 and that was about it.  There were some possible trade later in the afternoon as the price swung back in forth between support and resistance, but I was in a catatonic state by then, as the market once again proved to offer little in the way of afternoon price action.  Oddly enough, this particular day the price stayed close to the predicted pivots and deviated very little from the 89 period SMA.

New FAPTURBo out with Even More Impressive Returns

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment

Several days ago I wrote a review of FAPTURBO and fully expected to pan the product.  I don’t write a lot of reviews, and have a particular disdain for automated traded systems.  But the new FAPTURBO shows EVEN MORE promise than the original  product and the gains are significantly higher.  From their website:

“Great results…real money, real profits…..REAL consistency, day-in and day-out….real, spendable money that you can deposit in the BANK! 1 day even generated USD 8,400 .. a single Day! Can you believe that?

Now…let’s get some key points out of the way before we continue…

The first question that would come to MY mind if I saw such live results is:

Nice Results…But Will I Be Able To Achieve Such Performance Myself?

And, do you know what?…that IS the very first question that you should be asking yourself…that is what you should be concentrating on.

Well…listen closely…

As with everything else we have done up to this point with FapTurbo (words backed up by FACTUAL PROOF!)… I will prove to you that your results will be exactly like ours OR BETTER!

You see, unlike every other Forex robot vendor, we care about our credibility. Our #1 priority is PROOF. Proof is what drives this business…proof is what shows you that your money is SAFE

To prove that FapTurbo Evolution is the new heavyweight champion (undisputed!) of the Forex industry, we did the following…

We asked 3 key independent figures in the Forex industry to test Fapturbo Evolution with THEIR OWN MONEY at risk!

These are people who have been around for quite sometime…these are professionals and, when it comes to Forex trading, know what is real and what is not…

But, most important, and pay close attention: These are
people who WILL NOT risk their own reputation (and
money!) if they do not FULLY believe in something!

Pay close attention because this is the bottom line…

If you where a veteran Forex trader…if you were a professional trader who had seen everything out there to be seen and you knew that 99% of it is B.S…..would you risk $10,000, $20,000 or $30,000 of your own money?

We both know the answer…”

Todays ES Emini Pivots

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment
ESU9
For 07/14/2009

mbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 907.00 918.50 886.25 874.75 854.00

ES Emini Trading for July 13, 2009

By , 13 July, 2009, No Comment

ESjuly1309Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

Well, it wasn’t exactly one of those days you dream about, although it was profitable.  We had a nice move upward and the market treaded water for the rest of the day.  I highlighted the one try and exit for the day, and I am sorry to say that was the end of the action.  Sometimes trading can be very boring and tedious.  I might also add that the boring and tedious days are usually the most profitable, so I suppose I should not complain.

———————————————————————————————————

There are so many facets of trading to explore that I have taken on a sponsor that I have personally used for a number of years.  Most of trading experience as a professional was in the open outcry pits, so I am always anxious to learn new things.   The day you quit learning is the day you start your descent to mediocrity, so I highly recommend the folks at INO for rounding out your trading knowledge.  The scope and depth of the coverage they provide is absolutely first rate.  Give them a try and see what you think.  There is no risk.

Todays ES Pivots

By , 13 July, 2009, No Comment

ESU9
For 07/13/2009

Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 880.08 885.92 874.42 868.58 862.92

FAPTURBO: Is this just a gadget, or is it for real?

By , 13 July, 2009, No Comment

I have never been much on automated trading systems, so called black box systems, and reviewing this much talked about program was simply on my list of “to do’s.” I have a disinclination to Trade Forex market because the lack of a centralized exchange or standardization of order execution. Just the same, my buddy promised me quite a show watching his trading robot perform.

And I was not disappointed, the robot executed trades with the precision and the accuracy of a seasoned trader. I tried to figure out the exact methodology the program was using (which is proprietary) but could not put my finger on it’s entry and exits, though support and resistance were key components of the programs algorithm. I can tell you it works with an accuracy that surprised me, and I am going to buy the darn thing myself.

I am not forex trader, but the program trade with stops and limits and does all the things a good trade should practice. So why not cash in on some easier money. The product integrates with a number of brokerages to automate the trading, and this arrangement seemed to work seamlessly. All in all, I was much surprised, considering I was expecting to pan the program.

Get more info here:

Top Fund Manager Goes to Cash: Are the Bears Getting the Upper Hand?

By , 13 July, 2009, No Comment

Dan Sullivan has decided to go 100% cash… and that’s bad news, since Sullivan is not just any adviser.

According to Mark Hurlburt, Sullivan’s newsletter, The Chartist is in first place for stock market timing over the last three decades among those newsletters the Hulbert Financial Digest has tracked over this period. And though his mutual-fund newsletter — The Chartist Mutual Fund Letter — hasn’t been published for all three of those decades, it also is one of the top performers over the years it has existed.

Looks like the bull rally of the last four months is running out of gas.  As a scalper, it means little to me, but I would really like to see the economy improve for the sake of our country.  There have been far to many layoffs and jobs continue to be outsourced to cheaper foreign labor as companies struggle to eek out profits, or minimize loses.

So the bull market has lost a formidable ally.

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