ESZ9 For 11/02/2009

How To Use

Federal Agency Announcements and Economic Data

ISM Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET

Construction Spending
10:00 AM ET

Pending Home Sales Index
10:00 AM ET

Daniel Tarullo Speaks
10:30 AM ET

4-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET

3-Month Bill Auction
1:00 PM ET

6-Month Bill Auction
1:00 PM ET

ISM Mfg Index Consensus

Market Consensus Before Announcement
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index was little changed in September at 52.6 from August’s 52.9. Importantly, it was still over 50, indicating that more purchasers are reporting expansion rather than contraction. The new orders softened a bit in September, but remained very positive and strong at 60.8—down from 64.9 in August. Prices paid continue to show upward pressure, coming in at 63.5 and down only marginally from 65.0 the prior month.

Construction Spending Consensus

Market Consensus Before Announcement
Construction spending rebounded 0.8 percent in August after declining 1.1 percent in July. The boost in spending in August was led by a 4.7 percent jump in private residential outlays. In contrast, private nonresidential slipped 0.1 percent and public outlays dropped 1.1 percent in August. Looking ahead, based on the recent uptrend in housing starts (up in four of the last five months), the private residential component for outlays will likely post a gain for September. But high vacancy rates weigh on the nonresidential component as does state & local government revenue declines on public outlays.