Archive for ‘daytrading’

Daily Pivot-Fed Announcements-Commentary

By , 23 November, 2009, No Comment
ESZ9
For 11/20/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESZ9 1094.83 1095.17 1094.42 1094.08 1093.67

Fed and Fed Agency Announcements

Existing Home Sales

Released on 11/23/2009 10:00:00 AM For October, 2009
Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Existing Home Sales – Level – SAAR 5.57 M 5.700 M 5.290 M to 5.900 M

Market Consensus Before Announcement
Existing home sales in September spiked 9.4 percent to a 5.57 million annual rate. Existing home sales have been on a healthy uptrend in recent months, showing gains in five of the last six months. Recent numbers have been boosted by the clock ticking down on tax credits for first time home buyers with closing required by November. Tax credits have been extended and expanded but we are likely to see an easing in sales as there are not as many in the eligibility pool for these tax credits as in earlier months. And rising unemployment is weighing on other potential buyers.

YM Emini Day Trading: Detailed Trading Chart for Tues

By , 17 November, 2009, No Comment

Chart courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade.

YM Day trading chart with trades for the day.

YM Day trading chart with trades for the day.

Wow, I will sleep well tonight.  Though the trading on the YM emini day trading was choppy today, I managed to eek out with a small gain.  You can see that on three occasions today I found myself on the wrong side of the trade.  I was moving my stops up to one point.   If I was on the wrong side of the futures trade, I wanted to get out fast and look for something a little better.  Just the same, my style of trading was not suited to the market today, and my stubborn nature prevented me from just stopping when I saw the tough conditions for day trading.

I considered moving the CCI up to a 16 period setting, but I don’t think that would have helped much.  In non trending markets, it is tough to follow with my “trending oriented” trading style.  There really was not discernible trend from a scalping viewpoint.  Whipshaws were the name of the game.

Find out what sets super-traders apart

By , 17 November, 2009, No Comment

How much do you think you could learn if you had a chance to sit down with over 15 of the most successful day, value, and long term investors of all time? Do you think you’d finally get that one piece of advice that takes your trading from OK to extraordinary? Today you have the chance to pick the brain of one man who has sat down with experts and got your top questions answered.

The key ingredient with ‘super-traders’ isn’t as complicated as you think, as most of them share the same traits and behavioral patterns, but it’s how they put them to work in the markets that sets them apart.

Visit the link to watch the seminar that brings the experts to you:

Click here to visit with THE SUPER TRADERS

Don’t delay and once you visit the seminar you’ll notice 3 other seminars…that’s a special bonus just for you, from me!

ES Emini Day Trading: Pivot-Fed Announcements-Commentary

By , 16 November, 2009, No Comment
ESZ9
For 11/16/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESZ9 1097.42 1103.33 1090.08 1084.17 1076.83

Fed and Agency Announcement

Retail Sales
[Report][Star]
8:30 AM ET

Ben Bernanke Speaks
12:00 PM ET

We had some decent reports today and the market is off to the races.  Let’s see what Big Ben has to say later today. I have no doubt we will be treated to glowing reports and rosy prognostications.  Still, it just doesn’t feel good.

Day Trading: Has Gold Topped Out for the Year

By , 15 November, 2009, No Comment

Today, 11/12/09, the gold market took its first corrective action on the downside. The question many traders will have now is, have we hit the high end for gold this year?

In my latest video I examine that question in some of the internals that I see and feel are important in this market.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register.

Click here to see this video about the near term outlook for Gold

ES Emini Day Trading: Two Major Forces Collide in the Index Markets

By , 15 November, 2009, No Comment

On Wednesday, 11/11/09, the Dow Jones Industrial Index rallied to a 50% retracement level based on MarketClub’s Fibonacci measuring tool. The action today indicates that this level is very important and that it could be an important top for this market.

In my latest video I cover both the Dow and the S&P 500 and tell you what I think is going to happen to both of these markets in the near and intermediate term.

As always our videos are free to watch and there’s no need to register.

Click here to see this new video regarding the two major indexes I trade

ES Emini Day Trading: When to Exit a Trade Using Average True Range Indicator

By , 15 November, 2009, 2 Comments

When do you exit a futures trade?  Day trading related literature is chocked full of trade setups, but the advice on trade exits is very general, almost non-specific.  Ironically, I find proper exits more challenging than entries when trading the ES emini.

When do you cut your losses?  When do you trade out of a winning position ES Emini position?

From the onset, let me say that I often trade a simple 12 tick bracket on my positions.  This strategy is a good one for general trading, and I don’t know that you can go wrong with it, if you understand that you don’t have to stop or limit out to exit a position.  That is to say, if you are clearly on the wrong side of a trade, and your indicators indicate the price action is in the opposite side of your position, why not exit?  Save yourself some money.

So we have established that you do not have to stop out or limit out in order to exit a position, is there a great way to know how much to let a trade run, both for a profit or a loss?

There is an indicator called the average true range that I have found most helpful.  This indicator has been used for a variety of purposes in trading over the years.  Some of the uses have included entry timing, exit timing, and the indicator wasn’t always effective.  So it has received a some bad press.

Average True Range is just one of the wonderful ideas in Wells Wilder’s “New Concepts in Technical Trading” The Average True Range is an exponential moving average, and gives a trader a good idea as to the volatility of the market.   I generally trade a preset multiple of fraction of the market.  The idea is simple, really.  I want to avoid getting stopped out by the market noise of the day, but still retain the chance of pocketing some great gains.

For example; lets say the Average True Indicator is 2 (using a 14 period time setting), and I was setting my stops at 2X the Average True Range,  my stop loss would be set at 4.   In very volatile markets I may decide to trade at .75 of true range, which is what I did last year during those volatile months mid-year.

Whether you bracket your trades or use the Average True Range Indicator, it is important to have a sound exit strategy.  A well-thought out strategy, not a strategy that the market dictates.  Your exit strategy is in your control.

Oh, and never let a winning trade become a losing trade.

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