Archive for ‘Decision Bar’

ES Emini Day Trading: More on Decision Bar Trading

By , 14 November, 2009, No Comment

I field several requests for information on DecisionBar every week.  For ES Emini day trading, it seems people are looking for that magic bullet that puts them over the top.   Trade setups are evaluated through a filtering process, which is to say that a numbers of indicators are used to select a profitable trade.

When I see a trade setup in the offing, I consciously try to find reasons not to take the ES Emini trade.  That sounds a little counter-intuitive, doesn’t it?

Not really.

One of the biggest mistakes a trader can subject himself/herself to is chasing the price action.  We have all done it, usually with disastrous results, and I consciously try to fashion a trading image of myself as a cautious trader.  Not scared, but cautious.  This may be a blow to the ego of some traders, but futures trading is no place for an ego.

Decision Bar makes a fine filtering device, and has kept me out of some ruinous trades.  It is also a great indicator for breakouts and breakdowns.  Of course, it is not hard to spot a breakdown or breakout, but when you combine the DecisionBar oscillator with the DecisionBar indicator, you find yourself will a lot of information at your fingertips.  Filter, filter, filter.

So I use DecisionBar as one of my primary filtering devices when trading.  I have found the price exhaustion signals on DecisionBar to be unreliable.  This, of course, my be a function of my reluctance to enter counter trend trades, especially when the price action is significantly above or below the 89 period SMA.  I should point out that less than four or five points on the ES Emini does not necessarily exclude a trade, but it does cause a red flag.  I want to trade with the trend and not try to make a living discerning when the market is going to change direction.

The DecisionBar manual even points out some great filtering devices to use when trading the ES Emini and use the Decision Bar program as your primary indicator.  Judging from the reviews by traders on chat boards, it is obvious that most have not taken the time to completely familiarize themselves with the manual provided.  Additionally, there is an easily accessed page on the Decision Bar site called Decision Bar hints, and this resource should be read, too.  There is a wealth of information available on Decision Bar, and once a trader learns the program, there is no reason to complain about using the program profitably.

Finally, there is some concern about the quality of customer service Decision Bar provides.  This is not my experience.  If you call customer service with a trading problem, there is a good chance you will be asked to read the manual.  However, if you have some technical issues, there is no doubt in my mind that you will find the service just fine.

Todays ES Chart

By , 21 August, 2009, 1 Comment

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade.

ES Chart for August 21, 2009

ES Chart for August 21, 2009


After a dramatic opening, which resulted in a great trade, the market flattened out and stayed that way until a small move at the close. I missed the early part of the large move and limited out at 12 ticks, so I can’t say I really did a good job on the first trade. I had stopped trading toward the end of the day so I did not participate in the final legitimate trade of the day. I would not say I did a great job.

ES Emini Trading and Spectacular Movement Today

By , 13 August, 2009, No Comment

You have often read my admonitions about hanging in the markets around 7:30am, especially when there are some important Fed announcements in the offing. Many times, the action can be so fast that you will end up blowing straight through your stops. Check out the market movement at 7:30 this morning and be glad you weren’t long:

disaster on the ES emini chart in pre market trading

disaster on the ES emini chart in pre market trading

The market cliff dove, and blasted its way downward. This is a 5-minute chart and most of the movement came in the first minute.  Now for the rest of the day:

ES emini action during trading hours

ES emini action during trading hours

The market never really found itself after this mornings retail and employment reports and moved up in a protracted trend, but not after some real fireworks early on.  The market had been moving steadily north all night and the economic news sent it into a short selling period, which I avoided participating in.

Again, watch those 7:30 announcement dates and make sure you are not an unwilling participant in a violent market swing.    Couple of nice trades today, and then a trade that I bailed on early.  I chickened out….

Decision Bar

By , 11 August, 2009, 4 Comments

My stats and the unusually large amount of email I get often question me about the effectiveness of using the Decision Bar trading system. My stats and the unusually large amount of email I get often question me about the effectiveness of using the Decision Bar trading system.

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