Archive for ‘e-mini’

Types of Futures Orders and How to Place Them

By , 12 March, 2010, No Comment

Is there is one area that is ignored more than placing orders I don’t know what it would be. The average trader spots a trade and innocently places a marker order. I have placed very few market orders in my entire career.

Why?

When I see a set up that I feel will result in a profitable trade I set a buy or sell order several ticks above or below ( depending on whether I am going long or short) above or below my target entry price and let the market come to me. Granted, I may miss a trader to using this strategy. But I generally add several ticks to my profit by not diving into the market and buying wherever the broker to get me in. I want to buy at a certain price to ensure that my trade is profitable. If you think about this carefully, over the course of five or six trades this will lead three or four points to your bottom line. That fact alone makes this strategy important to implement. On the other hand, many traders are not aware of the range of orders that can be utilized. Here are some of the common orders:

Market Order

This is the most common type of the commodity futures orders used on the exchanges. When you place a marker order you instruct your broker to enter a trade at the best price he can get. One advantage of a market order is that it has priority over some of the orders we will discuss below. In any event, a marker order is always filled at the bid or ask price. Of course, I feel there are some disadvantages to market orders which make them less than advantageous to use. For example, in a fast-moving market you have little control over the price at which you will be filled. I do not like to guess at the price at which I am going to be buying. Just the same, market orders are far and away the most popular order use on the futures exchanges.

Limit Order

If you’re planning to buy or sell a commodity futures contract at a better price than is available in the market at the time you would use a limit order. There is always the possibility that the price may not reach your limit order and you will not be filled, which is a risk you run with limit orders.

Let’s say for example, you want to go long the ES contract and the price is 1000, you may place a limit order at 990 and wait for the price to be filled at your limit order price. As a matter of course, a limit order can be either a day order or an open order.

Day Order

This type of order is a commodity futures contract order and will only be entered if it is filled by the close of business on that specific trading day unless a traders specifically asks for in order to be open, it will be treated as a day order

Open Order

This order will remain active until such time as it is filled or cancel the contract expires. Another term used to describe this contract is ‘good till canceled’ or GTC.

As a trader remember to keep track of your entering open orders, as they can accumulate and then you can receive a shock when suddenly a member of orders have been filled and you have gone beyond your margin position.

Bearing in mind the following points about a limit order; limit orders work well for you as a commodities trader if your strategy sets out what you will trade, where you trade, when you plan to enter and we’re going to exit for a profit.

There is no guarantee that orders can be executed and placed because the price may never touch the selected limited price.

Even if the market touches that price, there may be a large number of orders to be filled before your order.

When your order is eventually fill the price may be different to the point you have chosen as an entry point.

Stop Order

Commodity trading markets can be very volatile and one way to limit potential losses is to place a stop order or a stop loss.

While some commodity traders believe in using a mental stop loss trading strategy, most traders will use a real stop order as part of their trading protection mechanism. My personal belief is to always have stop orders in place when I enter a trade. Mental stop orders are illusory and a very poor trading strategy.

For the sake of clarity I have included several market orders that I do not use in this explanation orders. Stop orders and limit orders are the bread-and-butter of my trading style. I have no use for open orders, good till canceled orders, or day orders. As a scalper and active trader I am interested in entering trades at the best possible prices and protecting myself against adverse moves that are unanticipated. As a trader, it is virtually impossible to anticipate unusual events involving politics or natural disasters which can move the market at an accelerated rate. Stop orders are the only way to protect yourself against these types of unusual events.

As I have said earlier in this chapter, I generally avoid entering the market via a market order. Once I spot a potential trade set up I generally set a buy or sell two or three takes above or below ( depending whether I am considering going long or short) my potential entry point. I repeat, I want the market to move to me when I enter a trade, I do not want to chase the market price in order to get into a trade.

So we’ve had a chance to look at several different market orders and excluded several others as useless for our trading style. We have agreed that stop orders and limit orders are essential for our trading and I have explained I seldom enter a trade without a stop order in place. Further, I have discouraged traders from entering trades via market order and would encourage you to place limit orders and let the market come to you. I know these are small points in trading, but overall long period of time, they can add up to a significant number of points.

Why Do People Lose Money Day Trading- You don’t have to!

By , 10 March, 2010, 1 Comment

I was watching a newscast today and the reporter claimed that 90% of all people who embark on a career of futures trading lose all their money within three months. The story went on to sensationalize these traders plights by claiming that the hapless trader spent the families savings and mortgagedThat the house in pursuit of his dream of being a day trader.

And believe it or not, these stories are true. I wish they weren’t, but I see it on a fairly regular basis. Yet, I don’t understand it.

Many traders purchase a book or two on day trading and establish a demo account and trade for a few weeks and decide they’re ready to trade a live account. The results of this type of trading preparation are fairly predictable. These traders never had a chance because they were poorly prepared to trade and hadn’t spent the time and effort to understand how markets function and how trades are set up.

You would think common sense would be a great asset in trading, but nothing could be farther from the truth. Common sense will serve you very poorly in trading futures contracts. For reasons not fully understood, market sense is far different than common sense. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve seen government issued a report that ought to send the market skyrocketing. Yet, the market reacts very poorly to this good news and ends up tanking. The point is a simple one; there are many variables that go into stock market and futures contract pricing, and to focus on one piece of news is to miss the point.

Even more disappointing is the fact that had this trader taken the time to learn how to trade in a proper fashion he or she would probably still be trading profitably. I have a very good friend who is a very intelligent fellow. He has an MBA from an Ivy League school in business management. Like many people, he decided that he was sick of the corporate rat race and decided to become a full-time futures trader. But his education betrayed him. He’d been trained to look at past trends and historical data and make decisions based upon this information. Unfortunately, the market doesn’t look backwards; it looks forward. And that’s the hardest thing to teach people, that the market is constantly trying to price equities six months to a year in the future.

To make things worse, it’s not unusual for traders to become desperate as they begin to deeply their trading accounts and abandon the limited trading technique they learn; and problems compound and beget more problems until they no longer have a problem, they’re broke and out of the business.

It’s not necessary, and proper training will keep you in the market as long as you maintain proper trading technique and exceptional self-discipline. But the question is this:

Why do rational traders sometimes act irrationally?

One of the toughest facts to accept as a trader is that you are going to lose on some of your trades. Probability makes it infinitely clear that there is no trader who can trade with 100% accuracy. Quite simply, you’re going to lose a certain percent of trades and there is nothing you can do about it. No trading system can assure you of 100% accuracy, I don’t even know of a trading system that consistently trades with 70% accuracy. Now let me qualify that, you will see ads in the trade journals that trumpet the fact that they are trading at an 80% profit rate. Don’t believe it.If a trader that assist them performing at 80% efficiency he most certainly would not be advertising it for sale.

The point is a simple one, and has been my focus for the last couple weeks. I want to trained novice traders in a system that will help them succeed in the early parts of their trading career. I have worked diligently to set up a system that will accomplish just this goal. I will be posting links to the system in the coming weeks and I encourage you to take advantage of the system, as there is no better lifestyle than trading for a living, especially when you are trading profitably.

Sorry for the Absence

By , 9 March, 2010, No Comment

I must apologize for being gone for the last couple weeks, as I have decided to compile an easy to use and effective e mini trading course. I have put a tremendous amount of time and work into making this book both usable and profitable for anyone who uses it. I have included all of my basic techniques for trading, and will have a daily video and advanced trading section posted every evening. I felt that is important for readers to have a comprehensive set of tools to trade e mini indexes. I still have a few days left to complete the course, but it should be ready by next week.

This course will encompass the core principles I use; the CCI, the Stochastic, the Average True Range, and the NYSE tick. I show my subscribers how to integrate these indicators in a coherent trading style. I will have more information available as I approached completion. Of course, I will continue to blog on pertinent topics related to e mini trading.

Day Trading the ES Emini: Contract Considerations

By , 16 January, 2010, No Comment

Contract Considerations for Day Trading the ES Emini

It garners more trading volume than any emini contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and has run away (in trading volume) from any other futures contract currently traded.  It the pint sized version of the S and P contract that traders have flocked to in recent years.  Better yet, it is specifically designed and priced for the individual trader.  What’s not to like?

I spend a decent amount of time in trade rooms, helping novice day traders develop their trading style.  One thing I have noticed, especially among the novice day traders, is their lack of awareness of exactly what they are trading.  So I thought I would write an article that gives the very basics of the ES contract.

What is the S and P 500?  You would be surprised at how many traders can’t definitively answer this question.  The S and P 500 is a capitalization-weighted index of the 500 largest, publicly traded, large-cap stocks in the United States.  The index has been around since 1957.  The index is calculated and published by Standard and Poor’s, hence the S and P in the title.  Incidentally, the index reached it’s highest point in March, 2000 at 1552.87.  In 2010, it was trading in the 1100 range, a far cry from it’s apex.

The ES emini contract was established on Sept. 9, 1997, and has grown steadily since that date.  Some specifics on the contract are:

1.  The contract months for the ES are
a.  March         =H
b.  June            =M
c.  September  = U
d.  December   = Z

Notice the contract months are designated by letters, and the contract designation is calculated by combining the letters with the ES designation, the month, and finally the last number of the year.  For example, ESM0= the ES contract for June in 2010.  Once you trade the ES for a period of time this nomenclature becomes second nature.

Many have been confused by the pricing model used for the ES contract.  It is fairly simple.  The ES emini is one fifth the value of the traditional S and P contract, so each point is worth $50 dollars, as oppose to $250 per point on the big contract.  Each point is divided into ticks or one fourth point, or $12.50 per tick.  So, 4 ticks at $12.50= $50.

The contract expires at 8:30 a.m. on the third Friday of contract month. (March, June, Sept. Dec.)  It is fairly normal for traders to have abandoned trading the contract about two weeks before the expiration.  Most futures brokerages  announce the date of switch over to their clients, so there is generally not the confusion that you might expect at contract expiration.  If you are a day trader, it is imperative that you switch to the new contract prior (preferably the above mentioned two weeks) and not trade the ES emini right up to expiration.  Most of the volume evaporates from the contract on the switch date, and you could run into having make good delivery of the full delivery requirement of the contract.

The clear advantage of the ES emini contract is the tremendous liquidity, and thus you should never see slippage as a result of the contract trading thin.  More than a million contracts are traded on an average day, which is astounding volume when taken against some of the thinner emini contracts offered.

The ES emini contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which has been a true innovator in the emini arena.  The CME Globex is the actual home of the contract, and it trades during regular trading hours, takes a short break, and then trades all night until the opening of the next days cycle.  The actual hours of trading are:

Monday-Thurs  5:00 p.m.-3:15 p.m. & 3:30 p.m.-4:30 p.m.
Sunday              5:00 p.m.-3:15 p.m.

Margins requirements vary by firm and whether you are trading intraday or holding contracts overnight.  For inraday traders, you can find margin requirements as low as $400/contract and as high as $3000/contract.  Of course, the lower contract margin requirement may tempt some traders into over trading their futures account, and this can be a real problem.  In any event, the contract margin requirements vary greatly.

As you can see, the ES emini contract is a versatile and popular equity trading instrument.  We have reviewed the monetary basis for the contract, as well as the calender specifics for trading.  We have pointed out the margin requirements and trading hours, now all that is left is for you to perfect your trading style and enjoy trading this flat-out-fun trading instrument.

Trades around the Pivot Point, R1 R2 S1 S2

By , 13 January, 2010, No Comment

I think the most important fact, yes I said fact, regarding pivots points is they are a prediction of future support and resistance levels.  The key word in the previous sentence is “prediction” and traders should keep that in mind when trading pivot point systems.  I have always been conflicted as to why pivot points (PP) become important throughout the course of the day.  Most traders begin their day by plotting pivot points onto their chart.  With so many people using similar formulas to plot PP it is little surprise that the market stops at the calculated support and resistance levels.  Do the support levels and resistance levels occur because everyone is using a similar system or are they part of the natural function of the market?

It doesn’t matter.

As a trader I am only interested in what the market does, not why it exhibits certain tendencies.  I realize that is a bit of an obtuse answer, but it is one I have learned to live with comfortably.  Of course, it is often discussed among traders and each day trader has his opinion, but to trade the markets it is not necessarily important why this phenomena occurs.

On the other hand, some days the market pays absolutely no attention to pivot points and goes along its merry way without stopping at any particular point on the chart.  More often than not, though, the market will stop at the pivot points, or pause , or reverse right at the plotted lines.  My point is a simple one; pivots are very useful, except when they are not useful.  Whether the market will adhere to the predicted support and resistance is something that you must glean from watching the price action for a bit.  I typically don’t initiate my first trade of the day based on pivot points.

The formula for calculating the days support, resistance, and pivot point is as follows:

R2 = P + (H – L) = P + (R1 – S1)
R1 = (P x 2) – L
P = (H + L + C) / 3
S1 = (P x 2) – H
S2 = P – (H – L) = P – (R1 – S1)

S=support levels
R=resistance levels
H=hi
L=low
C=close

As you might have surmised, the formula plots five lines on your trading chart.  These lines are commonly referred to as S1, S2, PP, R1, and R2.  S1 and R1 are the first lines of potential support/resistance on your chart.  The pivot point is the primary line of support and/or resistance.

Most traders have their own set-up to trade pivots, and I have three that are favorites of mine.  One is a break out through a resistance/support level.

Break outs often time occur when the market is in a consolidating mode and forms a horizontal channel, with the price banging off the top and bottom of the channel, especially if the channel is on a support/resistance line, as is often the case..  After this price action continues for two, maybe three cycles, I will set a sell a point below the channel and a buy a point above the channel. (I am referring to the ES contract here)  Generally the price action will break out of the channel and continue in the direction of the break out and you pick up the trade as it blasts through the channel parameters.  This is a pretty good strategy and can be very profitable.

Breakdowns are also a great way to use your pivots.  This trade is especially good if the market has been hitting a support/resistance line and stopping.  As the price action approaches the support/resistance line, I will set a buy one point below the line in hopes of picking up the trade as it pierces the line.  This trade can be a bit dodgy, especially if the market has been bouncing off the lines all day because the earlier bounces were usually followed a move in the other direction.  Your hope is that the move does not go through the line a bit (as it often does), pick up your trade and change directions.  Again, here you can set your order lower, maybe 1.5 points below the line if you are uncomfortable.

Finally, you trade the pullbacks from R and S.  Let’s say the market pierces S1 and heads straight to S2 and stops and reverses.  Often times the change in direction will go straight to S1 again, retracing it’s move down in the opposite direction.  Once it reaches S1 I will set a trade 1 point below S1.  More often than not, the trade will hit S1 and reverse field to the short side, and if it continues upward you stayed out of the trade by virtue of setting your sell 1 point below S1.  This probably my favorite pivot point trade, and comes with a higher degree of safety than most.  Of course, no specific trade works every time.  If I am stopped out twice on a pivot point trade, I forget pivot points for the rest of the day.

In summary, we learned that pivot points are predictors of future activity.  Further, as predictors they may or may not be effective on a given day of trading.  Your power of observation is key to understanding the effectiveness of a pivot point every trading day.  We reviewed three basic trades that I use; the breakout, breakdown and pullback.  If you learn to combine your trades with an oscillator or a tick chart, you will develop and even higher degree of activity in your trading.  Remember to check yourself when trading pivot points, never trade without stop-loss orders in place.

ES Emini Day Trading: Scaling out of a Trade

By , 13 January, 2010, No Comment

My observation is that most day traders buy and sell with market orders.  This strategy tells your broker or platform to buy when you execute an order as soon as you hit the enter button on your computer and buy immediately at whatever price the market is trading.   I want to qualify this before getting too far down the road, I trade in a scalping style and run reasonably tight stops and try to let my winners run.  Of course, who does not try to let their winners run?  Many people, believe it or not, especially if they are to heavy on the number of contracts they are day trading relative to their futures account balance, trade not to lose, as oppose to maximizing their profit potential.  They are fearful, and trade defensively.  It’s not unusual to see a fearful day trader trade the ES contract and bail at one point, even though the market is signaling there is good potential for the trade to continue in the direction of the trade.  They just want out before something bad happens.  Needless to say, day trading in a fearful condition is not an enjoyable experience and makes for a long day.

Let’s take a moment and talk a little about a strategy for entering trades.  We will assume you have identified a potential trade to the short side and are ready to take that trade.  Instead of putting a straight market order in place and buy at whatever the market is trading at when your order is filled, why not set your short entry several ticks above the current market price and let the market come to you?  Granted, you run the risk of missing out on the trade if the price dive bombs straight down, but that is a rare occurrence.  Even in a trending market, the price tends to bounce around and you are likely to get filled at your buy order above the market price.  You just saved yourself a half point.  You can look at your Average True Range Indicator to see how the range of the market has been and base your entry, to a certain degree, in a manner within the range.  In dead flat markets, though, this may not be such a good strategy.  Then again, I am not very excited about day trading flat and choppy markets anyway.

Now let’s talk a bit about scaling out of a trade.  If you have read any of my articles you know that I usually have a specific profit target in mind and a specific stop loss point.  In this example I am going to trade 3 contracts and my profit target 15 ticks on the ES Emini contract.  On a day trade like this one I will generally scale out of the trade.  A good trading platform will allow you to set specific strategies for selling at different prices.  I use Ninja trader, and I can preset my exit strategy as follows:  I am going to sell 2 of the contracts at 10 ticks profit and 1 contract at the 15 tick profit target I had in mind.  You can use any variation of selling strategies you feel comfortable with and most good day trading platforms allow up to 3, sometimes 4, separate levels to scale out of your trade.  You can preset these strategies and name them in a manner which will allow you to choose which one you are going to use simply by clicking on the strategy you will employ.  For example, this strategy on my platform I named 3x10x15.  It’s my own nomenclature, but I know this means 3 contract with exits at 10 and 15 ticks.  I generally exit a larger portion of my contract on the first exit to lock in a nice profit and let the last contract run.  I can even move the stop on the single contract if I see a market start a sharp move in the direction I am trading.

One of the maxims I live by is to never let a winning day trade become a losing trade, and scaling out of a contract is an excellent way to assure you lock in a nice profit while allowing yourself the latitude to let a contract run.  Needless to say. there are an endless number of potential scaled exits you may employ.  In my trading, and I cannot fully explain why, I tend to trade an odd number of contracts and lock in the majority of my contracts at the first exit point, then manage the remainder of the contracts as the trade develops.

Entering a trade in the proper fashion and scaling out of the trade is an idea you may wish to employ in your trading, especially if you are trading out of fear.  (on the other hand, if you are trading overly fearful, it might be wise to take a break from trading and regroup)

On single contract trades I generally just bracket trade, as no scaling is possible with a single contract.  Try buying at the price you want with the method above and scaling out of a trade and see if it doesn’t prove to be a profitable strategy for you to employ.  It does give you a bit more control of the trade, and incrementally lowers the risk in the trade.

How to Scalp the ES Emini: A Day Traders Delight

By , 12 January, 2010, No Comment

There are a variety of day trading styles that traders employ, some with great success, others with less than satisfactory results.  My style of day trading, scalping, is a direct reflection of my personality, experience and emotional disposition. ES Emini day traders who scalp typically stay in trades for five minutes or less, or longer, if need be.

My views on the way the market functions precludes me from making long term commitments to a given market direction.   Market prognostication is an inexact science, at best, and most economists and day traders have a miserable track record of predicting the future direction of market movement.  So, I don’t even try.  I suspect I would be as poor at predicting futures market direction as the experts.

As a adherent to portions of chaos theory, I believe there is a level of randomness to the market, which makes it less than predictable in the long term.  I do believe that certain means can be employed, and probabilities analyzed, that will allow a day trader to get an idea of what the market may do in the next ten minutes, though.  Chaos theory is about small patterns, called fractals, that exist in a far larger random pattern.  I take advantage of those smaller patterns and try to pull two or three points (on both the long or short side of a position), and then exit with my small prize.  Of course, if I find myself in a continuing trend, I may push my profit limits higher to take advantage of the trend.   By and large, though, I am looking for two or three points.

A casual glance at any intraday chart will show an undulating wave pattern that is the basis for scalping.  I try to identify the starting point of a wave and exit the trade when the little spurt of momentum stops.  Of course, there are days when the market trends in one direction, not often, and on those days I may take a position and hold until my comfort level erodes and I am ready to take a profit.

When you are in a winning day trade, you never lose money by exiting the trade.  Sure, maybe the trade angled upwards another two points and you did not participate in that price action, but I am still content with my three points.

Never let a winning trade become a losing trade.  Take that to the bank because it is a common mistake by a legion of traders.

On the ES Emini contact I set my stops fairly tight, usually a 12 tick bracket and never adjust my stop lower to accommodate a lousy trade.  If I am wrong, I am wrong.  My goal is to find another trade that is profitable.

I don’t hold trades overnight, and I don’t set up trades and walk away.  The scalping style requires constant attention to the day trade at hand, and this requirement makes it an unpopular choice for traders who don’t care to spend a lot of time at the computer.  You will be spending time watching charts looking for trades, and once you are in a trade it is important to monitor the trade.

In baseball terms, scalpers are singles hitters.  Nothing more.   We may hit an occasional home run, but the is the exception, not the rule.  The goal of a scalper is to extra small chunks 5-8 times a day from the market.

ES Emini Day Trading: Pivot-Fed Announcements-Commentary

By , 5 January, 2010, No Comment

Pivot Point for 1-4-10

1140.41  R2
1134.58  R1
1123.91  Pivot Point
1118.08  S1
1107.41  S2

Fed and Fed Agency Announcements

Redbook
[Bullet
8:55 AM ET
Factory Orders
[Report][Bullet
10:00 AM ET

4-Week Bill Auction
[Bullet
11:30 AM ET

The Market started off the new  year in euphoric fashion.  It was a nice day to trade.  I started calculating the Pivots by hand again because I noticed some differences in S and R points and realized I wasn’t calculated them for 5PM.  Some of the automatic pivot point calculators online go from midnight to midnight.  I can’t stand the pivots from midnight to midnight, so I am back to doing it the proper way.

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