Archive for ‘futures trading’

Pivot, R1,R2 and S1, S2: Fed announcements

By , 26 August, 2009, No Comment
ESU9
For 08/24/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 1036.00 1046.75 1016.25 1005.50 985.75
New Home Sales
[Report][djStar]
10:00 AM ET

Dennis Lockhart Speaks
11:30 AM ET
5-Yr Note Auction
[Bullet
1:00 PM ET

Lots of Fed info streaming out of the government today, with durable goods orders already announced as increasing 4.9%.  Should make for an interesting and profitable day of trading.

Daily Pivots

By , 21 August, 2009, No Comment
ESU9
For 08/21/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 1010.25 1015.75 1002.25 996.75 988.75

William Dudley Speaks
8:00 AM ET

Ben Bernanke Speaks
10:00 AM ET

Stock futures rose moderately Friday, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as investors await a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Traders will be looking to Bernanke's speech for insight into a potential economic rebound.

During an annual Fed conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Bernanke is expected to talk about the past year's financial crisis and could provide clues about how the Fed will eventually withdraw trillions of dollars in aid used to support the economy.

Withdrawing that support too soon could hinder any recovery. But, waiting too long could lead to rapid inflation.

A report on existing home sales could also provide direction for investors. Sales have shown signs of life in recent months, raising hopes for a recovery for the overall economy. The National Association of Realtors is expected to report existing home sales rose for the fourth consecutive month in July.

July's sales are forecast to rise 2.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5 million, from 4.89 million in June, according to economists polled by Thomson Reuters.

The report is due out at 10 a.m. EDT (1400 GMT)

ES Emini: Why we err-continued

By , 20 August, 2009, No Comment

My biggest weakness is to be happy with a three point gain in a trade, especially if I am bracket trading with 12 tick stops. I have also moved stops to accommodate a losing trade if I erroneously feel I am in a good trade and the market isn’t cooperating.

ES Emini Trading: Why we err

By , 17 August, 2009, 1 Comment

Those who trade the emini swear by the enjoyment and excitement the very act of a successful trade brings. I relate emini trading to a war, which is won by many small battles. Of course, that may be a little melodramatic, okay, maybe I love trading enough to overdramatize the act, but it just resonates with me in a way few things can rival.

Paper Trading versus Real Money Trading

By , 15 August, 2009, No Comment

Anyone who has read very much of this blog knows that I recommend extensive paper trading on a demo account before you trade a live account.  As a matter of fact, my exact advise is to be able to put together 5 days of consistent profits before you even consider tinkering with real money.  I think this is a realistic strategy for learning trading.

You will also find that I recommend some serious reading of some of the classic authors of investment techniques and theory.   I think it is important to understand the underpinnings of trading and have a well thought out philosophy on how the market functions.   On a humorous note, there are so many different perspectives on market theory that you are bound to find one that resonates with your own particular thinking.

I am a chaos theory guy.   You don’t have to be a chaos theory guy to be successful in your trading endeavor, but you ought have some philosophical underpinning to your actual trading style.

Which brings me to the point of this post, and that is the transition from paper trading a demo account to trading an account with real money.  You would think it would be the same…ah, erm…it is the same, at least the technique should stay the same.

But, it doesn’t.

Perfectly normal, intelligent people go absolutely brain dead when real money is involved.  I cannot explain this phenomena, I can’t even describe why it happens…but it does happen in an alarming number of cases and sometimes in a highly catastrophic manner.

Is it greed?

Is it fear?

Does real money make people trade different?    The answer, at least in many cases and in the early part of a traders career, is unequivocally YES.   I warn people of this and they vehemently deny that THEY could succumb to this sort of silly stupidity.    A very good friend, who I personally helped in his emini training and was absolutely gifted when we traded together, (he on paper, me with a real account) started trading and promptly lost 25,000 dollars in two days.  I had instructed, and he had always followed, the strategy of trading one of two contracts, and to use tight stops, when traded.  Boom, 25 grand disappeared as if we had never spoken.

When I asked him what went wrong, he was unable to explain his dilemma.  “I lost my mind”, he said.

And I have seem it happen so many times I felt it necessary to forewarn new traders, the transition from paper to cash is a quantum leap.  Be extra conservative, if anything.  Use the technique you perfected on paper and don’t overtrade or mismanage your money.

Okay, ‘nuf said…but don’t say I did not warn you.

Seven Free Videos that will Improve Anyone’s Trading

By , 7 August, 2009, No Comment

See if these videos don’t make a difference in the way you think about trading.

Click on the link below.

7 great trading videos

E-Mini Trading: Chasing the Dragon

By , 5 August, 2009, No Comment

Trading e-mini futures is a zero-sum game, which is to say for every winner there is a loser. It is also important to bring your “A” game to the trading platform, some of the best traders in the world trade the ES emini contract.

Todays Pivot Support Resistance

By , 4 August, 2009, No Comment
ESU9
For 08/04/2009

Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESU9 1007.33 1013.92 994.67 988.08 975.42

Todays Economic Announcements

Redbook
[Report][Bullet
8:55 AM ET
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