I really don’t dabble in Exchange Traded Funds, but I thought this new video had some merit. You can clearly see the bias Adam Hewitt has in several market sectors.
The five ETFs that we are referring to are going to play a major role in the future and you need to know about them today.
In this short video I show you the overriding trend and potential for each of these markets in the future.
As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need for registration.
Anyway, I have been thinking about this run up in equities of late and wondering just exactly is the root cause of all this stock buying euphoria? I would also note that the volume on the run up has not always been overly impressive, and further, trading in the financial stocks has been much heavier than the norm.
The complete interview can be seen here
From Yahoo Business:
Posted Oct 05, 2009 01:49pm EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession, Banking
“Why is liquidity going into the financial sector? It’s because the real economy is dying [and] everyone is fleeing into the stocks and bonds because they’re liquid at the moment,” Whalen says. “That’s not a good sign.”
The banking sector’s assets shrunk by about $300 billion per quarter in the first half of 2009, a sign of banks hoarding cash in anticipation of additional future losses, according to Whalen. “The real economy is shrinking because of a lack of credit.”
The shrinkage will continue into 2010, Whalen predicts, suggesting the banking sector hasn’t yet seen the peak in loan losses. Institutional Risk Analytics forecasts the FDIC will ultimately need $300 billion to $400 billion to recoup losses to its bank insurance fund. (In other words, the $45 billion the FDIC sought to raise last week by asking banks to prepay fees is just a drop in the bucket.)
“Investors should think about this because the fourth quarter in the banking industry is going to be a bloodbath,” says Whalen, who believes smaller and regional banks like Hudson City Bancorp may come into favor vs. larger peers, which have dramatically outperformed since the March lows.
“When you see the markets rallying when the real economy is shrinking that tells you this [recovery] is not going to be very enduring,” Whalen says.
In this regard, Whalen finds himself in philosophical agreement with Nouriel Roubini, George Soros and Meredith Whitney, among other “prophets of the apocalypse” who’ve once again been raising red flags in recent days.
The market has shot up to extraordinary levels in recent months on news that…ah…ermm…earnings are down. Huh? It’s true, the economy as whole has stopped the free fall we experienced early in the current year, and we have had a steady stream of “it’s not as bad as it could have been” kind of economic reports. But this news is hardly the stuff of “green shoots” some economists have portrayed.
Of course, a trader doesn’t affiliate himself with any “political investing party.” Bulls, bears….these are wonderful basketball and football teams but are of little consequence for a trader. We are happy to go long or short at the appropriate times without conscience or investing preference. Like most traders chaotic investment philosophy goes to where the money is…long or short and where the money is.
I started out as a stock and bond man….but concentrate entirely on index futures contracts now. Of course, my trainers and the media in general portrayed the futures and options markets as “voo-doo” markets and not to be taken seriously. No, I was trained to believe that the only investing occurred on the NYSE and NASDAQ. (and the NASDAQ was barely respectable back then) I did trade some TED Spreads (Treasury-Eurodollar) but nothing like the scalping style I employ now.
The reason for my conversion is much the same as the reasons other traders….we have nano-second access to any market through home computers, and as home computers have proliferated so has the number of firms that cater to home traders or small office traders. While I hate to admit it, my investing career has taken me all the way back to Quotron.
My early investing career was very much influenced by the writings of Benjamin Graham, and Graham and Dodds writings were very much the gold standard by which other authors were judged. Value investing, as was Grahams preference, along with detailed study of balance sheets and cash flow statements were the rage, along with neighborhood investment clubs. The world has certainly changed.
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