Archive for ‘technical trading’

Emini Trading: Fibonacci Retracements

By , 19 July, 2009, 5 Comments

The real question is whether Fibonacci retracements are a valid tool in trading emini contracts. There has been a great deal of debate over this issue when Fibonacci systems began making their way into technical analysis in the early to mid 1990′s.

Emini Trade For 7-17-09/ FAPTURBO, DecisionBar and INO-TV reviews

By , 18 July, 2009, 1 Comment

I have personally used all three programs with great success and give them a “thumbs up” I suppose the thing I warn most traders against is the “one size fits all” program that makes claims of millions of dollars in profits. Knowledge is your friend, experience is your companion, and judgment is your compass.

Some Reader Questions Answered Regarding DecisionBar

By , 18 July, 2009, No Comment

f your trading fundamentals are week, there is no book or software program that is going to make you a great trader. My writing on randomness and chaos theory in earlier posts makes this assertion true. My own personal observations make it true. Many people trade recklessly, without discipline, without trade filtering technique and use poor money management. No program can cure these problems.

ES emini trades for July 16, 2009

By , 16 July, 2009, No Comment
emini trading chart ESU9 for 7-16-09

emini trading chart ESU9 for 7-16-09

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

Very enjoyable day to trade on the es dow emini, especially the afternoon session, which proved to be profitable.  There is no better feeling that being on the right side of a long protracted trade.  The morning was a little choppy and I eeked out a few decent trades, and a loser, but the action was fast and interesting.

I was paying fair close attention to the divergence line on the MACD as the market wanted to change directions early on, and I hate to overstay my welcome in a trade because it usually spells bad news, so I was a little slow to get in and quick to get out, when possible.

There were a variety of banking and financial concerns buffeting the market today, and I had to focus on the chart and ignore all the news.  Seems the banks we bailed out are making money hand over fist again,  hmmm….imagine that.  My Dad always reminded me, “your banker is not your friend”…truer words have never been spoken.  Apologies to any bankers who are offended, but I’ll stick with my old dad on this one.

CIT appears headed for bankruptcy, and this had the market riled up all morning.  JP Morgan Chase posted nice profits, with CITI and the rest of the banking cabal reporting earnings tomorrow.  Probably make for an interesting day…just remember, trade the chart, not the news or the economy.

Go Cubs!  We need a good second half of the season.  I guess I let the cat out of the bag, I am an inveterate Cubs fan.

It doesn’t take much to get the emini market excited…apparently

By , 15 July, 2009, No Comment
ES emini contract

ES emini contract

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

Well, you get a hint of good news, or news that is more like “it could have been worse than this,” and the market goes bonkers.  I was long most of the day, as most of the real action took place during the pre-trading hours.  I don’t have too much to say about todays chart, as the chart really says it all.

A Little More Information on Leverage and Emini Contracts

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment

A week of so ago I wrote a brief article about leverage and how emini contracts have highly leverage relative to their individual stock counterparts.  I recieved a number of emails to further expound on this because it is a very important concept to understand.

As an emini scalper, I do not hold any emini contract positions overnight.  The reason is simple, I do not want to participate in a volatile move to the upside or downside while I sleep, especially if I am on the wrong side of that move.  It only makes sense.  I also trade exclusively by watching charts and chart indicators, so my sleeping hours do not allow me to to do this.  In short, I am just more comfortable scalping the emini that trying to swing trade the contract.

The leverage on an emini contract goes something like this for daytraders: (We’ll use the ES contract as an example)

Each point on the ES contract (the S and P emini) is worth 50 dollars, and lets say the ES emini contract is trading at 900.  The math is fairly simple.

900 x $50= $45000

So, in actuality, you are controlling 45K worth of contracts when you daytrade.  How much will the average futures brokerage house ask you to post as margin on a single contract?  Usually about $500, but some have recently raised their daytrading margins considerably higher because of the volatile nature of the market of late.  But there are still plenty of brokerages at the $500 dollar level.  As you may have surmised, this is a fantastic level of leverage and create extraordinary profits on a good move in the market. But it is a two edged sword…it can also create tremendous losses on a good move in the market against the positive you are holding.

Obviously, a good technique for employing stops is needed and I have recently written one that fully explains my position on this topic.

Think about what leverage has done for you with your home. If you buy a home for $250,000 and you put 10% down ($25,000), you will double your money if your home simply goes up 10%. You’ll triple your money if it goes up by $50,000. This is the magic of leverage.

But as you know, this same leverage can bite you. If your home depreciates by 10%, you have lost all the capital you have placed in it. This is why protective stops and correct positions are essential, especially when leverage is in place. But when correctly used, the leverage in the E-mini markets allows your capital to rapidly accumulate at a far greater pace than the leverage offered to you in stocks.

The same principle holds true for trading emini contracts, remember it’s a double edge sword and you need to wield that sword judiciously.

Emini Trading on the ES emini contract 7-14-09

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment
ESU9  July 14, 2009

ESU9 July 14, 2009

Charts courtesy of AMP Trading, get a free demo account and paper trade

The market made its usual move around 9:30 and that was about it.  There were some possible trade later in the afternoon as the price swung back in forth between support and resistance, but I was in a catatonic state by then, as the market once again proved to offer little in the way of afternoon price action.  Oddly enough, this particular day the price stayed close to the predicted pivots and deviated very little from the 89 period SMA.

New FAPTURBo out with Even More Impressive Returns

By , 14 July, 2009, No Comment

Several days ago I wrote a review of FAPTURBO and fully expected to pan the product.  I don’t write a lot of reviews, and have a particular disdain for automated traded systems.  But the new FAPTURBO shows EVEN MORE promise than the original  product and the gains are significantly higher.  From their website:

“Great results…real money, real profits…..REAL consistency, day-in and day-out….real, spendable money that you can deposit in the BANK! 1 day even generated USD 8,400 .. a single Day! Can you believe that?

Now…let’s get some key points out of the way before we continue…

The first question that would come to MY mind if I saw such live results is:

Nice Results…But Will I Be Able To Achieve Such Performance Myself?

And, do you know what?…that IS the very first question that you should be asking yourself…that is what you should be concentrating on.

Well…listen closely…

As with everything else we have done up to this point with FapTurbo (words backed up by FACTUAL PROOF!)… I will prove to you that your results will be exactly like ours OR BETTER!

You see, unlike every other Forex robot vendor, we care about our credibility. Our #1 priority is PROOF. Proof is what drives this business…proof is what shows you that your money is SAFE

To prove that FapTurbo Evolution is the new heavyweight champion (undisputed!) of the Forex industry, we did the following…

We asked 3 key independent figures in the Forex industry to test Fapturbo Evolution with THEIR OWN MONEY at risk!

These are people who have been around for quite sometime…these are professionals and, when it comes to Forex trading, know what is real and what is not…

But, most important, and pay close attention: These are
people who WILL NOT risk their own reputation (and
money!) if they do not FULLY believe in something!

Pay close attention because this is the bottom line…

If you where a veteran Forex trader…if you were a professional trader who had seen everything out there to be seen and you knew that 99% of it is B.S…..would you risk $10,000, $20,000 or $30,000 of your own money?

We both know the answer…”

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