From INO: Has the S&P broken final support

By trader7757, 3 November, 2009, No Comment

In the last video on the S&P 500 (10/27), we indicated that this market may have topped out for the year. Today’s action puts in place a weekly “Trade Triangle” which indicates that a temporary or a permanent top is now in place for this market.

In this latest video, I share with you some of the ideas that I think could potentially come into play for this market. Not only do I have some downside targets in mind, but I also see a pattern that could evolve in the next several weeks which will confirm that we’ve made a serious high in this market.

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Watch this FREE and informative video-Has the S & P 500 broken final support?

Daily Pivot and Fed Economic Data for Monday

By trader7757, 1 November, 2009, No Comment
ESZ9
For 11/02/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESZ9 1054.00 1075.00 1041.75 1020.75 1008.50

Federal Agency Announcements and Economic Data

ISM Mfg Index
[Report][Star]
10:00 AM ET

Daniel Tarullo Speaks
10:30 AM ET

ISM Mfg Index Consensus

Market Consensus Before Announcement
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index was little changed in September at 52.6 from August’s 52.9. Importantly, it was still over 50, indicating that more purchasers are reporting expansion rather than contraction. The new orders softened a bit in September, but remained very positive and strong at 60.8—down from 64.9 in August. Prices paid continue to show upward pressure, coming in at 63.5 and down only marginally from 65.0 the prior month.

Construction Spending Consensus

Market Consensus Before Announcement
Construction spending rebounded 0.8 percent in August after declining 1.1 percent in July. The boost in spending in August was led by a 4.7 percent jump in private residential outlays. In contrast, private nonresidential slipped 0.1 percent and public outlays dropped 1.1 percent in August. Looking ahead, based on the recent uptrend in housing starts (up in four of the last five months), the private residential component for outlays will likely post a gain for September. But high vacancy rates weigh on the nonresidential component as does state & local government revenue declines on public outlays.

ES Emini-Trend Analysis

By trader7757, 31 October, 2009, No Comment

I use an 89-period Simple Moving Average to get the overall trend of the market. If the daily price action is significantly above the SMA I concentrate on long trades, and conversely, if the price action is significantly below the SMA I concentrate on short trades.