Posts tagged ‘emini’

E-Mini Trading: How Long Should You Trade in Simulated Mode?

By , 15 July, 2011, No Comment

Most new traders want to test their new e-mini trading skills on a trading simulator. Most new students can easily obtain a trading simulator from a reputable futures broker. The general line of thinking is to master e-mini trading on a simulator and then move to trading an actual live account. From the onset, I want to say that there is nothing inherently wrong with trading simulators other than they are the trading equivalent of video games. In short, there are no consequences for making either good or bad decisions.

For me, the lack of trading consequences leads to long-term problems.

As difficult as it may seem to believe, I have several students in my trading room who have been e-mini trading on simulators for several years. I frequently ask them why they have not moved to trading with real money, and they respond that “they want to completely understand trading before moving to an actual live account.” Of course, the real problem in this equation is fear of failure, and putting off an actual test of their trading skills is a suitable substitute for dealing with the issue of actually winning and losing trades. Even the best traders make trades that lose money. I have been trading for most of my life, and have entire days that end up in the negative column. I don’t enjoy losing, but it is a fact of life in the world of trading. I have even had periods of time where my trading style was not in tune with the market and I have had losing weeks, and occasionally even a losing month. It doesn’t happen often, and never in recent years, but learning to deal with losing trades is part and parcel of learning to trade.

On the other hand, I like for students to use an e-mini trading simulator for several weeks so that they can learn the features of a trading platform like:

• How to place a trade at a specific price
• How to set up stop loss orders
• How to set up staggered profit targets
• Learn the general operating features of a trading platform
• Place simulated trades to get a feel for how the price action looks on a DOM.

In short, simulators are great places to learn how to operate a trading platform and implement the trading strategies the new student has been learning. But when fear begins to replace the learning feature of a trading simulator, it is my experience that most traders seldom make the transition from simulator to trading actual money. Until traders can make that quantum leap from pretend trading to real trading they are doing themselves a great disservice and would probably be best served spending their time in an avocation more suited to their psychological and emotional parameters. Trading is not for everyone.

So, if you have been e-mini trading on a simulator for more than a year I would have a heart to heart conversation with myself. After a year of learning, you should be able to initiate a good number of winning trades, and experience some losing trades. Each trading experience is a learning moment and in order to learn you have to be an actual participant; extended time spent on a simulator is little more than participating in trading as a spectator. This is something for you to consider and take to heart.

In summary, we have pointed out some excellent benefits associated with simulated trading and pointed out that an extended period spent in simulated trading may not be beneficial to a new trader. It is my opinion that traders should learn to trade on live accounts. In short, get off the sidelines and onto the field of play.

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    E-Mini Trading Versus Forex Trading: A Shocking Lack of Transparency

    By , 15 July, 2011, No Comment

    The lightly regulated Forex industry has been in recent years the target of both the SEC and the CFTC, with good reason. Exchange traded securities provide potential traders with a high level of transparency and information in regards to the equity product or series they intend to trade. Variables like a leverage, registration of broker-dealers, and capital adequacy requirements are just a few necessary requirements that would go a long way toward establishing much-needed transparency in the Forex industry.

    Forex trading has gained a large following in recent years as a popular day trading vehicle. It’s not unusual to observe a barrage of Forex firms touting their services on just about any financial news publication. As a longtime institutional stock trader and commodities trader I am often shocked at some of the outrageous claims and advertising techniques this industry utilizes. This type of advertising and verbiage is simply not allowed by the SEC or the CFTC. The Forex industry, on the other hand, is lightly regulated and offers no centralized exchanges like the securities industry in the United States and has virtually no regulation on advertising technique and claims.

    From the onset I want to point out that the United States stock and futures exchanges have their share of hucksters and fraudulent activity. You need only peruse the current SEC and CFTC enforcement actions to get an idea of the amount of illegal activities that occur in our highly regulated exchange based trading structure.

    On the other hand, the lightly regulated Forex industry has been in recent years the target of both the SEC and the CFTC, with good reason. Exchange traded securities provide potential traders with a high level of transparency and information in regards to the equity product or series they intend to trade. Variables like a leverage, registration of broker-dealers, and capital adequacy requirements are just a few necessary requirements that would go a long way toward establishing much-needed transparency in the Forex industry. Further, and from a personal standpoint, I believe a centralized exchange for Forex trading would be optimal for the industry.

    By means of comparison, the futures industry and stock trading exchanges have rigid leverage, registration and capital adequacy requirements. In addition, e-mini trading is all conducted through well-regulated and orderly exchanges that feature reliable data feeds that provide real-time information on volume, trading entities, and pricing to all participants. This transparency in the futures industry is a sharp contrast to the murky Forex industry which is dominated by individual banking interests. Quite simply, there is a shocking lack of transparency in the Forex industry. In an orderly market, all participants ought to have access to accurate real-time information and standardized trading contracts.

    Another concern of the SEC and CFTC is the leverage requirements in the Forex industry. The current United States industry standard for leverage and a Forex industry is 100:1. The most recent regulation proposes lowering the leverage standard to 10:1, which is a departure from the current leverage standard that is a quantum leap in scope. For a variety of reasons, Forex traders have been, by and large, fiercely critical of these regulations. Since the CFTC can only regulate firms in the United States, offshore firms would still be able to offer the absurdly high leverage requirements the Forex industry has enjoyed. The obvious result of this new regulation would be a mass migration of Forex traders from United States based firms to offshore firms that would not fall under the proposed US Forex reforms. There is, however, regulation under consideration that is very similar to offshore betting operations; in short, it is unlawful for US citizens to patronize offshore betting firms in order to circumvent current US law regarding betting. The proposed regulation for patronizing offshore Forex trading operations is very similar to the limitations of US citizens circumventing United States Forex regulation. In short, Forex traders based in the United States would be required to trade through domestic Forex trading operations.

    In short, I don’t trade Forex because of the lack of transparency and a centralized exchange. In my opinion, there is simply too much potential for manipulation of bid/ask quotes, front running, and outright fraud. Currently the Forex industry leads security related scams by a wide margin, even though it is a small portion of the total day trading aggregate.

    To summarize, the Forex industry has great potential to become a legitimate and profitable day trading option. In my opinion, the industry must institute strict regulation before its legitimacy can be truly realized. I think that in time all of the above addressed the problems will be rectified, but until there is true transparency in the Forex industry I believe I will abstain from participating. We have identified problems like over leverage, lack of registration, and the absence of a centralized exchange as problem areas in the Forex industry. Until these problems are addressed, I don’t think the Forex industry will reach its full potential.

    Real Live Trading Doesn’t Lie. Spend several days in my trading room and see if you can benefit from a fresh and unique view on trading e-mini contracts. Sign up for your free trading experience by clicking here.

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      E-Mini Trading: Finding High Probability Setups

      By , 15 July, 2011, No Comment

      A quick scan of any of the popular online bookstores will produce a plethora of writers who claim to have a distinct set of high probability e-mini trading setups. For these traders, these setups are probably very successful and profitable. Unfortunately, any of these e-mini trading setups require a sizable software purchase or intricate analysis of candlestick formations. Whether all of these e-mini trading setups are profitable is beyond the scope of this article, but I am interested in presenting some generic setups that have been successful for a wide range of traders.

      I emphasize trading with the trend and rely upon momentum for most of my profitable trades. I find when I trade against the trend, except in a few specific trades, I end up with a marginally profitable or unprofitable e-mini trade. For that reason, I’m going to recommend learning 2 “with the trend” trades and one countertrend trade that I have found to be reliable in my personal trading.

      These traits include:

      • Breakout and breakdown trades in and around areas of support/resistance
      • Entering a trade in the trend after a retracement
      • The Ambush Trade

      Breakdown Trades in and around Areas of Support/Resistance

      I probably don’t trade is often as some e-mini traders because I don’t feel there aren’t that many high probability setups available each day. But one of my favorite setups is at the open of the session and there is a support/resistance line in the proximity of the direction of the markets initial move. I will generally set a buy stop or sell stop 4 or 5 ticks above or below the resistance or support and wait for the price to come to my entry. I pay special attention to volume in this trade and like to see increasing volume is the price nears the support resistance line. Sheer momentum will often carry a price action 10 to 12 ticks past my entry for a nice stop. Often times, there is a great deal of institutional and professional trading volume in these moves and they are very successful.

      Entering a Trade in the Trend after a Retracement

      During the course of a trend it is common, almost probable, that the trending action will take a short break and retrace some of the ground it has gained. This makes sense, as at some point e-mini traders will begin to take profits and the trend will take a temporary sideways or downward break. Depending upon which author you care to read, the trend resumes about 70% or 80% of the time. So, as the retracement in a trend begins to wane, it is an ideal time to reenter the market in the direction of the trend and ride the second leg of the trend for a profit. I would say that this is probably the most common trade I take on a daily basis and it has a high degree of success.

      The Ambush Trade

      The ambush trade is one of the few countertrend e-mini trades that I truly have a high degree of confidence in initiating. With this trade the e-mini trader can draw a Fibonacci continuum on graph and wait until the countertrend retracement reaches between 50% and 62%. There is a high probability in this zone, commonly referred to as the ambush zone that the market will once again resume in the direction of the trend. This is a trade I take routinely when the price action has reached 55% of the entire length of the trend as measured by the Fibonacci retracement path.

      A quick note here about probability is in order; because there is no such thing in will trading is a guaranteed trade. Every trade has a higher or lower probability of succeeding or failing. (Though it is hard to measure empirically) Even the best setups can fail miserably and disappoint. This does not, however, deter me from taking the same trade should I see it set up again. I understand probability, and even the best setups have a certain component of failure and their probability.

      In summary, we have looked at two “with the trend” trades and identified the conditions that need to be present for them to have the highest potential for success. We have also looked at one “against the trend” trade that has a high potential for success. Since trading is based on probability, we know that even the best setups have the potential for failure and except that is a part of and e-mini trader’s mentality.

      Real Live Trading Doesn’t Lie. Spend several days in my trading room and see if you can benefit from a fresh and unique view on trading e-mini contracts. Sign up for your free trading experience by clicking here.

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        More E-Mini Trading Setups with Support and Resistance

        By , 24 February, 2011, No Comment

        It’s not unusual to see traders using support and resistance to set up potential trades. The most common trade I see among novice investors is a set up that envisions the price action “bouncing” off an existing support or resistance lines. There are many versions of this particular trade, and it is not unusual to see small investors implement this trade over and over. To be sure, using support and resistance lines as potential setups is very common.

        Unlike the trade I described above, where the small traders are looking for a bounce off a support or resistance line, I am looking for a continuation through a support/resistance line. This makes sense at several levels. First and foremost, I’m a trend oriented trader and dislike trading against the trend. By definition, any bounce off a support or resistance line would entail a move against an existing trend, which is something I avoid, especially in a strong trend. Secondly, in order for the price action to move through a support or resistance line it takes a medium, at the least, and usually a strong push to pierce the line. Inevitably, this strong push creates excess momentum which is carried through for 10 or 15 additional ticks, and those additional ticks are the prize I am seeking to capture. This set up usually results in a very violent and short trade, as the momentum pushes the price upward or downward at a high rate of speed. It is an exciting trade to watch and even more exciting to initiate.

        When setting this particular trade up, I generally look for a strong support/resistance line that will intersect an established trend line. As an aside, I tend to prefer to take this trade to the short side as the market tends to move faster when heading downward. This can be attributed to panic selling, or long traders bailing out of short positions as the price action moves against them. In any event, I position my entry three or four points below the support/resistance line and wait for the price to come to me. Needless to say, it is never a good idea to chase the price action and it is rare for me to initiate a market order. I want to enter a trade at a point of my own choosing where I think I have the best chance of profiting.

        Once you become accustomed to spotting the set up, you’ll find it occurs two to three times daily. The trade is relatively reliable if it occurs in a trending market, and the trend does not necessarily have to be a strong one. On the other hand, I would avoid taking this trade when the market is in a well defined channel. Breakouts or breakdowns out of channel formations are generally unreliable and typically fail. False breakouts from a channel formation look very enticing from the onset, but after moving three or four ticks in your favor they tend to retreat back into the channel. Once in the channel, it is anyone’s guess where the price action may go as movement inside the channel is random, at best.

        In summary, we have looked at a trade using support/resistance lines. Instead of looking for a bounce off these lines, we have outlined a straight that entails a continuation of a trend through known support/resistance. We have noted that this trade is reliable when used in conjunction with a trending market, further we have cautioned against taking a straight out of very well-established channel.

        Real Live Trading Doesn’t Lie. Spend several days in my trading room and see if you can benefit from a fresh and unique view on trading e-mini contracts. Sign up for your free trading experience by clicking here.

        Types of Futures Orders and How to Place Them

        By , 12 March, 2010, No Comment

        Is there is one area that is ignored more than placing orders I don’t know what it would be. The average trader spots a trade and innocently places a marker order. I have placed very few market orders in my entire career.

        Why?

        When I see a set up that I feel will result in a profitable trade I set a buy or sell order several ticks above or below ( depending on whether I am going long or short) above or below my target entry price and let the market come to me. Granted, I may miss a trader to using this strategy. But I generally add several ticks to my profit by not diving into the market and buying wherever the broker to get me in. I want to buy at a certain price to ensure that my trade is profitable. If you think about this carefully, over the course of five or six trades this will lead three or four points to your bottom line. That fact alone makes this strategy important to implement. On the other hand, many traders are not aware of the range of orders that can be utilized. Here are some of the common orders:

        Market Order

        This is the most common type of the commodity futures orders used on the exchanges. When you place a marker order you instruct your broker to enter a trade at the best price he can get. One advantage of a market order is that it has priority over some of the orders we will discuss below. In any event, a marker order is always filled at the bid or ask price. Of course, I feel there are some disadvantages to market orders which make them less than advantageous to use. For example, in a fast-moving market you have little control over the price at which you will be filled. I do not like to guess at the price at which I am going to be buying. Just the same, market orders are far and away the most popular order use on the futures exchanges.

        Limit Order

        If you’re planning to buy or sell a commodity futures contract at a better price than is available in the market at the time you would use a limit order. There is always the possibility that the price may not reach your limit order and you will not be filled, which is a risk you run with limit orders.

        Let’s say for example, you want to go long the ES contract and the price is 1000, you may place a limit order at 990 and wait for the price to be filled at your limit order price. As a matter of course, a limit order can be either a day order or an open order.

        Day Order

        This type of order is a commodity futures contract order and will only be entered if it is filled by the close of business on that specific trading day unless a traders specifically asks for in order to be open, it will be treated as a day order

        Open Order

        This order will remain active until such time as it is filled or cancel the contract expires. Another term used to describe this contract is ‘good till canceled’ or GTC.

        As a trader remember to keep track of your entering open orders, as they can accumulate and then you can receive a shock when suddenly a member of orders have been filled and you have gone beyond your margin position.

        Bearing in mind the following points about a limit order; limit orders work well for you as a commodities trader if your strategy sets out what you will trade, where you trade, when you plan to enter and we’re going to exit for a profit.

        There is no guarantee that orders can be executed and placed because the price may never touch the selected limited price.

        Even if the market touches that price, there may be a large number of orders to be filled before your order.

        When your order is eventually fill the price may be different to the point you have chosen as an entry point.

        Stop Order

        Commodity trading markets can be very volatile and one way to limit potential losses is to place a stop order or a stop loss.

        While some commodity traders believe in using a mental stop loss trading strategy, most traders will use a real stop order as part of their trading protection mechanism. My personal belief is to always have stop orders in place when I enter a trade. Mental stop orders are illusory and a very poor trading strategy.

        For the sake of clarity I have included several market orders that I do not use in this explanation orders. Stop orders and limit orders are the bread-and-butter of my trading style. I have no use for open orders, good till canceled orders, or day orders. As a scalper and active trader I am interested in entering trades at the best possible prices and protecting myself against adverse moves that are unanticipated. As a trader, it is virtually impossible to anticipate unusual events involving politics or natural disasters which can move the market at an accelerated rate. Stop orders are the only way to protect yourself against these types of unusual events.

        As I have said earlier in this chapter, I generally avoid entering the market via a market order. Once I spot a potential trade set up I generally set a buy or sell two or three takes above or below ( depending whether I am considering going long or short) my potential entry point. I repeat, I want the market to move to me when I enter a trade, I do not want to chase the market price in order to get into a trade.

        So we’ve had a chance to look at several different market orders and excluded several others as useless for our trading style. We have agreed that stop orders and limit orders are essential for our trading and I have explained I seldom enter a trade without a stop order in place. Further, I have discouraged traders from entering trades via market order and would encourage you to place limit orders and let the market come to you. I know these are small points in trading, but overall long period of time, they can add up to a significant number of points.

        Why Do People Lose Money Day Trading- You don’t have to!

        By , 10 March, 2010, 1 Comment

        I was watching a newscast today and the reporter claimed that 90% of all people who embark on a career of futures trading lose all their money within three months. The story went on to sensationalize these traders plights by claiming that the hapless trader spent the families savings and mortgagedThat the house in pursuit of his dream of being a day trader.

        And believe it or not, these stories are true. I wish they weren’t, but I see it on a fairly regular basis. Yet, I don’t understand it.

        Many traders purchase a book or two on day trading and establish a demo account and trade for a few weeks and decide they’re ready to trade a live account. The results of this type of trading preparation are fairly predictable. These traders never had a chance because they were poorly prepared to trade and hadn’t spent the time and effort to understand how markets function and how trades are set up.

        You would think common sense would be a great asset in trading, but nothing could be farther from the truth. Common sense will serve you very poorly in trading futures contracts. For reasons not fully understood, market sense is far different than common sense. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve seen government issued a report that ought to send the market skyrocketing. Yet, the market reacts very poorly to this good news and ends up tanking. The point is a simple one; there are many variables that go into stock market and futures contract pricing, and to focus on one piece of news is to miss the point.

        Even more disappointing is the fact that had this trader taken the time to learn how to trade in a proper fashion he or she would probably still be trading profitably. I have a very good friend who is a very intelligent fellow. He has an MBA from an Ivy League school in business management. Like many people, he decided that he was sick of the corporate rat race and decided to become a full-time futures trader. But his education betrayed him. He’d been trained to look at past trends and historical data and make decisions based upon this information. Unfortunately, the market doesn’t look backwards; it looks forward. And that’s the hardest thing to teach people, that the market is constantly trying to price equities six months to a year in the future.

        To make things worse, it’s not unusual for traders to become desperate as they begin to deeply their trading accounts and abandon the limited trading technique they learn; and problems compound and beget more problems until they no longer have a problem, they’re broke and out of the business.

        It’s not necessary, and proper training will keep you in the market as long as you maintain proper trading technique and exceptional self-discipline. But the question is this:

        Why do rational traders sometimes act irrationally?

        One of the toughest facts to accept as a trader is that you are going to lose on some of your trades. Probability makes it infinitely clear that there is no trader who can trade with 100% accuracy. Quite simply, you’re going to lose a certain percent of trades and there is nothing you can do about it. No trading system can assure you of 100% accuracy, I don’t even know of a trading system that consistently trades with 70% accuracy. Now let me qualify that, you will see ads in the trade journals that trumpet the fact that they are trading at an 80% profit rate. Don’t believe it.If a trader that assist them performing at 80% efficiency he most certainly would not be advertising it for sale.

        The point is a simple one, and has been my focus for the last couple weeks. I want to trained novice traders in a system that will help them succeed in the early parts of their trading career. I have worked diligently to set up a system that will accomplish just this goal. I will be posting links to the system in the coming weeks and I encourage you to take advantage of the system, as there is no better lifestyle than trading for a living, especially when you are trading profitably.

        Sorry for the Absence

        By , 9 March, 2010, No Comment

        I must apologize for being gone for the last couple weeks, as I have decided to compile an easy to use and effective e mini trading course. I have put a tremendous amount of time and work into making this book both usable and profitable for anyone who uses it. I have included all of my basic techniques for trading, and will have a daily video and advanced trading section posted every evening. I felt that is important for readers to have a comprehensive set of tools to trade e mini indexes. I still have a few days left to complete the course, but it should be ready by next week.

        This course will encompass the core principles I use; the CCI, the Stochastic, the Average True Range, and the NYSE tick. I show my subscribers how to integrate these indicators in a coherent trading style. I will have more information available as I approached completion. Of course, I will continue to blog on pertinent topics related to e mini trading.

        Do You Day Trade the Eminis Using Market Orders?

        By , 18 January, 2010, No Comment

        I like to enter day trades by letting the market come to me, that way I get in at a price that is below what the market order would afford.

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