Posts tagged ‘emini’

ES Emini Day Trading: When to Exit a Trade Using Average True Range Indicator

By , 15 November, 2009, 2 Comments

When do you exit a futures trade?  Day trading related literature is chocked full of trade setups, but the advice on trade exits is very general, almost non-specific.  Ironically, I find proper exits more challenging than entries when trading the ES emini.

When do you cut your losses?  When do you trade out of a winning position ES Emini position?

From the onset, let me say that I often trade a simple 12 tick bracket on my positions.  This strategy is a good one for general trading, and I don’t know that you can go wrong with it, if you understand that you don’t have to stop or limit out to exit a position.  That is to say, if you are clearly on the wrong side of a trade, and your indicators indicate the price action is in the opposite side of your position, why not exit?  Save yourself some money.

So we have established that you do not have to stop out or limit out in order to exit a position, is there a great way to know how much to let a trade run, both for a profit or a loss?

There is an indicator called the average true range that I have found most helpful.  This indicator has been used for a variety of purposes in trading over the years.  Some of the uses have included entry timing, exit timing, and the indicator wasn’t always effective.  So it has received a some bad press.

Average True Range is just one of the wonderful ideas in Wells Wilder’s “New Concepts in Technical Trading” The Average True Range is an exponential moving average, and gives a trader a good idea as to the volatility of the market.   I generally trade a preset multiple of fraction of the market.  The idea is simple, really.  I want to avoid getting stopped out by the market noise of the day, but still retain the chance of pocketing some great gains.

For example; lets say the Average True Indicator is 2 (using a 14 period time setting), and I was setting my stops at 2X the Average True Range,  my stop loss would be set at 4.   In very volatile markets I may decide to trade at .75 of true range, which is what I did last year during those volatile months mid-year.

Whether you bracket your trades or use the Average True Range Indicator, it is important to have a sound exit strategy.  A well-thought out strategy, not a strategy that the market dictates.  Your exit strategy is in your control.

Oh, and never let a winning trade become a losing trade.

ES Emini Day Trading: Pivot-Fed Announcements-Commentary

By , 12 November, 2009, No Comment
ESZ9
For 11/13/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESZ9 1098.00 1108.75 1090.25 1079.50 1071.75

Fed and Agency Announcements

Charles Evans Speaks
10:30 AM ET

The question in my mind is where this market is headed.  How long can this gravity defying stock market rally continue?  I know, I know, I thought you were a scalper?  In my trading life I am a scalper, but spending so much time day trading makes you like an intimate friend of this rally.  Just when you think the market could not go higher, it seems to find a way…

ES Emini Daytrading: Daily Pivot, Fed Annoucements and Commentary

By , 11 November, 2009, No Comment
ESZ9
For 11/11/2009

How To Use
Symbol R1 R2 Pivot S1 S2
ESZ9 1092.42 1092.58 1092.08 1091.92 1091.58

Fed and Fed Agency Annoucements

It’s Veterans Day and the Fed is taking it easy.

Ever Lost on Your First Two Trades?

By , 28 September, 2009, No Comment

A very common mistake traders make is to try to get back in the money in one fell swoop. Often times a trader will take a trader of lower probability to accomplish this just to quit looking at the red numbers on his DOM.

ES Emini: Why we err-continued

By , 20 August, 2009, No Comment

My biggest weakness is to be happy with a three point gain in a trade, especially if I am bracket trading with 12 tick stops. I have also moved stops to accommodate a losing trade if I erroneously feel I am in a good trade and the market isn’t cooperating.

Can the Market Be Wrong?

By , 14 August, 2009, No Comment

This begs the question for the trader: Is the Market Wrong at Times?
Well, the answer is an easy one. The market is always right, and if you trade why you think is right versus what the market has deemed to be right you are in for an unprofitable ride.

Decision Bar

By , 11 August, 2009, 4 Comments

My stats and the unusually large amount of email I get often question me about the effectiveness of using the Decision Bar trading system. My stats and the unusually large amount of email I get often question me about the effectiveness of using the Decision Bar trading system.

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