Posts tagged ‘ES’

Day Trading: Focus on the Price Action

By , 9 October, 2010, No Comment

From the onset, let me explain that I use momentum oscillators and a number of moving averages in my ES e-mini trading. On the other hand, momentum oscillators and rate of change indicators are not my primary focus in trade selection. There are several reasons for this, but my best explanation lies in the fact that most oscillators and indicators are lagging indicators. In short, these tools often lead you into late trade entries and tardy trade exits.

This trade didn’t go exactly as I planned

By , 28 April, 2010, No Comment

I thought that this might be a good video to watch as I had to scramble a bit to salvage a gain from the trade.  The darn thing almost stopped out for a gain three of four times but stopped one tick short.  I finally had to move my stop up to 7 ticks as the market started to consolidate and I worried that the trade would go south.  It was a pretty interesting trade and I actually had to think a little as the trade played out.  Did I do the right thing?  Let me know what you think.

Do You Day Trade the Eminis Using Market Orders?

By , 18 January, 2010, No Comment

I like to enter day trades by letting the market come to me, that way I get in at a price that is below what the market order would afford.

Day Trading the ES Emini: Contract Considerations

By , 16 January, 2010, No Comment

Contract Considerations for Day Trading the ES Emini

It garners more trading volume than any emini contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and has run away (in trading volume) from any other futures contract currently traded.  It the pint sized version of the S and P contract that traders have flocked to in recent years.  Better yet, it is specifically designed and priced for the individual trader.  What’s not to like?

I spend a decent amount of time in trade rooms, helping novice day traders develop their trading style.  One thing I have noticed, especially among the novice day traders, is their lack of awareness of exactly what they are trading.  So I thought I would write an article that gives the very basics of the ES contract.

What is the S and P 500?  You would be surprised at how many traders can’t definitively answer this question.  The S and P 500 is a capitalization-weighted index of the 500 largest, publicly traded, large-cap stocks in the United States.  The index has been around since 1957.  The index is calculated and published by Standard and Poor’s, hence the S and P in the title.  Incidentally, the index reached it’s highest point in March, 2000 at 1552.87.  In 2010, it was trading in the 1100 range, a far cry from it’s apex.

The ES emini contract was established on Sept. 9, 1997, and has grown steadily since that date.  Some specifics on the contract are:

1.  The contract months for the ES are
a.  March         =H
b.  June            =M
c.  September  = U
d.  December   = Z

Notice the contract months are designated by letters, and the contract designation is calculated by combining the letters with the ES designation, the month, and finally the last number of the year.  For example, ESM0= the ES contract for June in 2010.  Once you trade the ES for a period of time this nomenclature becomes second nature.

Many have been confused by the pricing model used for the ES contract.  It is fairly simple.  The ES emini is one fifth the value of the traditional S and P contract, so each point is worth $50 dollars, as oppose to $250 per point on the big contract.  Each point is divided into ticks or one fourth point, or $12.50 per tick.  So, 4 ticks at $12.50= $50.

The contract expires at 8:30 a.m. on the third Friday of contract month. (March, June, Sept. Dec.)  It is fairly normal for traders to have abandoned trading the contract about two weeks before the expiration.  Most futures brokerages  announce the date of switch over to their clients, so there is generally not the confusion that you might expect at contract expiration.  If you are a day trader, it is imperative that you switch to the new contract prior (preferably the above mentioned two weeks) and not trade the ES emini right up to expiration.  Most of the volume evaporates from the contract on the switch date, and you could run into having make good delivery of the full delivery requirement of the contract.

The clear advantage of the ES emini contract is the tremendous liquidity, and thus you should never see slippage as a result of the contract trading thin.  More than a million contracts are traded on an average day, which is astounding volume when taken against some of the thinner emini contracts offered.

The ES emini contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which has been a true innovator in the emini arena.  The CME Globex is the actual home of the contract, and it trades during regular trading hours, takes a short break, and then trades all night until the opening of the next days cycle.  The actual hours of trading are:

Monday-Thurs  5:00 p.m.-3:15 p.m. & 3:30 p.m.-4:30 p.m.
Sunday              5:00 p.m.-3:15 p.m.

Margins requirements vary by firm and whether you are trading intraday or holding contracts overnight.  For inraday traders, you can find margin requirements as low as $400/contract and as high as $3000/contract.  Of course, the lower contract margin requirement may tempt some traders into over trading their futures account, and this can be a real problem.  In any event, the contract margin requirements vary greatly.

As you can see, the ES emini contract is a versatile and popular equity trading instrument.  We have reviewed the monetary basis for the contract, as well as the calender specifics for trading.  We have pointed out the margin requirements and trading hours, now all that is left is for you to perfect your trading style and enjoy trading this flat-out-fun trading instrument.

ES Emini Day Trading: Scaling out of a Trade

By , 13 January, 2010, No Comment

My observation is that most day traders buy and sell with market orders.  This strategy tells your broker or platform to buy when you execute an order as soon as you hit the enter button on your computer and buy immediately at whatever price the market is trading.   I want to qualify this before getting too far down the road, I trade in a scalping style and run reasonably tight stops and try to let my winners run.  Of course, who does not try to let their winners run?  Many people, believe it or not, especially if they are to heavy on the number of contracts they are day trading relative to their futures account balance, trade not to lose, as oppose to maximizing their profit potential.  They are fearful, and trade defensively.  It’s not unusual to see a fearful day trader trade the ES contract and bail at one point, even though the market is signaling there is good potential for the trade to continue in the direction of the trade.  They just want out before something bad happens.  Needless to say, day trading in a fearful condition is not an enjoyable experience and makes for a long day.

Let’s take a moment and talk a little about a strategy for entering trades.  We will assume you have identified a potential trade to the short side and are ready to take that trade.  Instead of putting a straight market order in place and buy at whatever the market is trading at when your order is filled, why not set your short entry several ticks above the current market price and let the market come to you?  Granted, you run the risk of missing out on the trade if the price dive bombs straight down, but that is a rare occurrence.  Even in a trending market, the price tends to bounce around and you are likely to get filled at your buy order above the market price.  You just saved yourself a half point.  You can look at your Average True Range Indicator to see how the range of the market has been and base your entry, to a certain degree, in a manner within the range.  In dead flat markets, though, this may not be such a good strategy.  Then again, I am not very excited about day trading flat and choppy markets anyway.

Now let’s talk a bit about scaling out of a trade.  If you have read any of my articles you know that I usually have a specific profit target in mind and a specific stop loss point.  In this example I am going to trade 3 contracts and my profit target 15 ticks on the ES Emini contract.  On a day trade like this one I will generally scale out of the trade.  A good trading platform will allow you to set specific strategies for selling at different prices.  I use Ninja trader, and I can preset my exit strategy as follows:  I am going to sell 2 of the contracts at 10 ticks profit and 1 contract at the 15 tick profit target I had in mind.  You can use any variation of selling strategies you feel comfortable with and most good day trading platforms allow up to 3, sometimes 4, separate levels to scale out of your trade.  You can preset these strategies and name them in a manner which will allow you to choose which one you are going to use simply by clicking on the strategy you will employ.  For example, this strategy on my platform I named 3x10x15.  It’s my own nomenclature, but I know this means 3 contract with exits at 10 and 15 ticks.  I generally exit a larger portion of my contract on the first exit to lock in a nice profit and let the last contract run.  I can even move the stop on the single contract if I see a market start a sharp move in the direction I am trading.

One of the maxims I live by is to never let a winning day trade become a losing trade, and scaling out of a contract is an excellent way to assure you lock in a nice profit while allowing yourself the latitude to let a contract run.  Needless to say. there are an endless number of potential scaled exits you may employ.  In my trading, and I cannot fully explain why, I tend to trade an odd number of contracts and lock in the majority of my contracts at the first exit point, then manage the remainder of the contracts as the trade develops.

Entering a trade in the proper fashion and scaling out of the trade is an idea you may wish to employ in your trading, especially if you are trading out of fear.  (on the other hand, if you are trading overly fearful, it might be wise to take a break from trading and regroup)

On single contract trades I generally just bracket trade, as no scaling is possible with a single contract.  Try buying at the price you want with the method above and scaling out of a trade and see if it doesn’t prove to be a profitable strategy for you to employ.  It does give you a bit more control of the trade, and incrementally lowers the risk in the trade.

How to Scalp the ES Emini: A Day Traders Delight

By , 12 January, 2010, No Comment

There are a variety of day trading styles that traders employ, some with great success, others with less than satisfactory results.  My style of day trading, scalping, is a direct reflection of my personality, experience and emotional disposition. ES Emini day traders who scalp typically stay in trades for five minutes or less, or longer, if need be.

My views on the way the market functions precludes me from making long term commitments to a given market direction.   Market prognostication is an inexact science, at best, and most economists and day traders have a miserable track record of predicting the future direction of market movement.  So, I don’t even try.  I suspect I would be as poor at predicting futures market direction as the experts.

As a adherent to portions of chaos theory, I believe there is a level of randomness to the market, which makes it less than predictable in the long term.  I do believe that certain means can be employed, and probabilities analyzed, that will allow a day trader to get an idea of what the market may do in the next ten minutes, though.  Chaos theory is about small patterns, called fractals, that exist in a far larger random pattern.  I take advantage of those smaller patterns and try to pull two or three points (on both the long or short side of a position), and then exit with my small prize.  Of course, if I find myself in a continuing trend, I may push my profit limits higher to take advantage of the trend.   By and large, though, I am looking for two or three points.

A casual glance at any intraday chart will show an undulating wave pattern that is the basis for scalping.  I try to identify the starting point of a wave and exit the trade when the little spurt of momentum stops.  Of course, there are days when the market trends in one direction, not often, and on those days I may take a position and hold until my comfort level erodes and I am ready to take a profit.

When you are in a winning day trade, you never lose money by exiting the trade.  Sure, maybe the trade angled upwards another two points and you did not participate in that price action, but I am still content with my three points.

Never let a winning trade become a losing trade.  Take that to the bank because it is a common mistake by a legion of traders.

On the ES Emini contact I set my stops fairly tight, usually a 12 tick bracket and never adjust my stop lower to accommodate a lousy trade.  If I am wrong, I am wrong.  My goal is to find another trade that is profitable.

I don’t hold trades overnight, and I don’t set up trades and walk away.  The scalping style requires constant attention to the day trade at hand, and this requirement makes it an unpopular choice for traders who don’t care to spend a lot of time at the computer.  You will be spending time watching charts looking for trades, and once you are in a trade it is important to monitor the trade.

In baseball terms, scalpers are singles hitters.  Nothing more.   We may hit an occasional home run, but the is the exception, not the rule.  The goal of a scalper is to extra small chunks 5-8 times a day from the market.

ES Emini Day Trading: Pivot-Fed Announcements-Commentary

By , 5 January, 2010, No Comment

Pivot Point for 1-4-10

1140.41  R2
1134.58  R1
1123.91  Pivot Point
1118.08  S1
1107.41  S2

Fed and Fed Agency Announcements

Redbook
[Bullet
8:55 AM ET
Factory Orders
[Report][Bullet
10:00 AM ET

4-Week Bill Auction
[Bullet
11:30 AM ET

The Market started off the new  year in euphoric fashion.  It was a nice day to trade.  I started calculating the Pivots by hand again because I noticed some differences in S and R points and realized I wasn’t calculated them for 5PM.  Some of the automatic pivot point calculators online go from midnight to midnight.  I can’t stand the pivots from midnight to midnight, so I am back to doing it the proper way.

ES Emini Trading: Why Not You

By , 4 January, 2010, No Comment

The newspaper have for years written enumerable article about stocks busts, market crashes and the economic calamities that face stock investors.  It makes good news, and adds to the negative image of investing in equities and the market in general.

But those calamities are problems that face long term investors.  You know, the buy and hold guys.   For years, the general line of thinking was to buy a stock and hold onto for years and reap the rewards in your retirement years.  Of course, the dynamic nature of the stock has, to a certain extent, changed that line of thinking.

Of course, there are still the hordes of mutual fund holders who have invested untold billions in these investment vehicles.  I have a low opinion of mutual funds, as an investor cannot exit a fund until the end of the day.  Additionally, very few fund managers even come close to matching the indexes they are supposed to be imitating.  Why pay exorbitant fees for substandard performance?  I will never understand it, but there are trillions of dollars still invested in these investment vehicles.

However, recent changes in investment structuring from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange has made investment for primary income a very attainable goal.  Several product lines are aimed directly at the consumer market and priced well within the average budget.   The are called e-mini’s and are investments that are traded during the day, and seldom held overnight.  No worrying about the stock market here, you are in complete control of your investment future.

I don’t want to give you the impression that these investment are like ATM machines that simply spit out money all day, but with proper training and practice a trader can easily earn $500 a day or more and not hold any positions over night.  Of course, most individuals have never given serious consideration to investing in the markets, which many consider relegated to Wall Street experts.  But nothing could be farther from the truth.

There are many courses, some home study, that are reasonably priced that will give you more than the pre-requisite knowledge you need to be an effective trader.  Thousands of people, from housewives to businessman, have turned to trading and greatly increased their income and improved their lifestyle.

The secret is training.  It is very important that a trader spends time learning the slightly illogical movements of the market.  Again, with proper knowledge this illogical movement becomes second nature to understand.

The benefits to trading for a living are many fold:

1.  More time with your family and children.
2.  No more boss, your self-discipline is the key to success.
3.  Time for leisure activities and enjoying the fine things in life.
4.  You control your income.  You have the skill to make money, and nobody can take that away from you, fire you, or change your job.  More than anything, once you learn to trade, you can become completely in control of your lifestyle.
So, I propose that you consider exploring the benefits of trading and see if it suits you.  It’s not for everyone, but it’s wonderful for a lot more people, especially if they have the knowledge of what is possible in trading right from your home.  You are your own boss, and master of you own lifestyle.  No more corporate mentality to deal with.

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